Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-08 0.000141 0.000156 0.000172 0.000190 0.000210 0.000232 0.000259
2025-06-15 0.000114 0.000136 0.000160 0.000192 0.000230 0.000275 0.000333
2025-06-22 0.000099 0.000124 0.000154 0.000195 0.000249 0.000317 0.000412
2025-06-29 0.000085 0.000111 0.000144 0.000191 0.000256 0.000343 0.000471
2025-07-06 0.000073 0.000099 0.000133 0.000183 0.000255 0.000356 0.000514
2025-07-13 0.000067 0.000093 0.000129 0.000184 0.000266 0.000387 0.000584
2025-07-20 0.000062 0.000089 0.000127 0.000186 0.000279 0.000422 0.000666
2025-07-27 0.000057 0.000084 0.000122 0.000185 0.000286 0.000448 0.000735
2025-08-03 0.000054 0.000080 0.000121 0.000188 0.000299 0.000484 0.000827
2025-08-10 0.000050 0.000076 0.000116 0.000185 0.000304 0.000506 0.000896
2025-08-17 0.000046 0.000072 0.000113 0.000184 0.000309 0.000531 0.000972
2025-08-24 0.000043 0.000068 0.000109 0.000181 0.000312 0.000550 0.001042
2025-08-31 0.000039 0.000063 0.000102 0.000174 0.000308 0.000559 0.001095
2025-09-07 0.000037 0.000061 0.000101 0.000176 0.000321 0.000600 0.001223
2025-09-14 0.000036 0.000060 0.000101 0.000180 0.000337 0.000651 0.001379
2025-09-21 0.000033 0.000056 0.000097 0.000176 0.000338 0.000671 0.001471
2025-09-28 0.000030 0.000052 0.000091 0.000169 0.000330 0.000672 0.001518
2025-10-05 0.000029 0.000050 0.000089 0.000169 0.000339 0.000710 0.001664
2025-10-12 0.000028 0.000049 0.000089 0.000172 0.000353 0.000760 0.001847
2025-10-19 0.000026 0.000047 0.000087 0.000171 0.000358 0.000791 0.001986
2025-10-26 0.000025 0.000046 0.000086 0.000173 0.000372 0.000844 0.002197
2025-11-02 0.000024 0.000044 0.000084 0.000171 0.000374 0.000870 0.002337
2025-11-09 0.000023 0.000042 0.000081 0.000169 0.000379 0.000902 0.002500